Friday, January 16, 2009

I love the Fix

I have been reading the washingtonpost.com's The Fix for several years. I like him for many reasons but one is his analysis of congressional races. He ranks them from 10 - 1. 1 being the most likely to change hands. I could also like him b/c, in his analysis, for the past 4 years there has always been about 9 repubs about to lose their seat.

He has ranked the senate this week b/c of all the repubs retirements. All 4 retirements are in swing states that dems have been winning. Ohio, Florida, Kansas, and Missouri.

In this round, he makes an important point about these retirements. Even if we don't win them in the next election, it will cost the repubs a ton of money to keep them. That is critical in keeping the majorities we already have. And hopefully expanding on others.  He says
Not only will GOP strategists have to spend considerable time and money (Florida, Ohio and Missouri are all expensive/very expensive states in which to advertise) to hold the seats but those expenditures are dollars that can't be spent on offensive opportunities in Colorado, Nevada and Illinois among other states.
I totally agree. 

Check out his analysis of future, hopefully, dem victories in the senate.