Friday, November 6, 2009

Lost Amongst The Election

From Politico:

"It shouldn't have come as a surprise, since Republicans have lost 20 of the past 29 House special elections, dating back to January 2003. And in perhaps the most worrisome aspect of the trend, the GOP lost its fifth consecutive competitive special election in Republican-friendly territory."

Unemployment Hits 10.2%

More than anything else this number is Obama's challenge. If he can't get it down, no matter how bad Bush was, he will never get re-elected or get dems re-elected in the midterms or the general election in 3 years.

This is the barometer that will let us know if Obama is going to get re-elected.

AMA and AARP Come Out For Health Care Bill

Two large organizations are now supporting the health care bill. AMA and AARP, both representing large groups of people, have come out in support of the health care bill. This is big b/c it keeps the momentum going for the the bill. Especially after the elections when some dems might be squeamish about supporting it.

Now, we just need to pass this darn thing.

After Election Thoughts

Well, of the 4 big elections (NJ gov, Virginia Gov, House election in Cali and NY) dems lost the govs and won the special elections. The house special election in NY the dems never should have won but thanks to the crazy turf war going on in the repub party, the dem won. Not since the civil war has NY-23 seen a dem house rep.

The repubs are using this as a referendum on the dems. After reading exit polls, it seems that it was not. 58% in NJ and 48% in Virginia said it was not about Obama. The repubs are using this as a weapon but don't be scared. There is a year before the midterm elections and if health care gets passed and if Obama can get those unemployment numbers down, then dems can turn around their approval rating (which by chance is still much better than repubs.)

But dems do need to get stuff done.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Jon Stewart Still Going After Fox

Very funny clip of Jon taking Fox to task over their "not news" hours.

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Scozzafava Is Out

Interesting twist in the NY-23 special election. Dede Scozzafava, the moderate republican, is withdrawing from the race with less than a week to go. So much for moderate republicans.

What does this mean for the conservative and the dem? Most likely the repub voters will go for the crazy candidate. Then, I think the dem will lose and the ultra-conservatives in the party will use this as a rallying cry for other extremely right people to come forward pulling the repub party farther to the right.

This is a major problem because without moderates in the republican party, they will continue to isolate themselves to the south or odd districts in the through out the country but never building a national movement. We just had 8 years of fanaticism and Americans are just too moderate for more helpings of crazy right now.

Gavin Newsom Is Out

Mayor of San Francisco Gavin Newsom is out of the California governors race. He announced on friday saying:

"With a young family and responsibilities at City Hall, I have found it impossible to commit the time required to complete this effort the way it needs to - and should be - done,"

His polling numbers were in the tank and his bank account didn't have enough zeros to inspire him to continue. The other major problem was banging his best friend's wife and how that will be used in the campaign.